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US and Israel draw up plans for renewed Iran strikes after midterms, officials say

🇺🇸 United States, Washington 21:36 War & conflict Business6 updated 3 h ago first reported by The New York Times

In short

The New York Times reported, citing U.S. officials and others briefed on the deliberations, that the U.S. and Israeli militaries have developed specific plans for renewed strikes on Iran after the American midterm elections. The White House said it will not attack Iran before the Nov. 3 elections, and the sources say the decision is Trump's to make.

Read the full story 3 min read

The U.S. and Israeli militaries have developed specific plans for renewed strikes against Iran after the American midterm elections, according to a New York Times report citing U.S. officials and other people briefed on the deliberations. The Seattle Times and Boston Globe carried the same account. As planning for a short but intensive operation progresses, the two militaries have stepped up exercises, flying planes over Iraq to practice strike maneuvers, the report said. [ 1 , 2 , 5 ]

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth met Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in Israel this week to discuss new strikes, U.S. officials said. The targets would likely include Iran's energy infrastructure, nuclear facilities, and missile and drone arsenal. Some officials say one more big round of attacks could push Iran's economy over the brink and force diplomatic concessions after nearly eight months of conflict. The officials spoke on condition of anonymity. [ 2 , 3 , 5 ]

ABC News cited two Israeli sources who said the strikes would almost certainly take place after the midterms, citing Trump's reluctance to further destabilize oil markets in the final days of the campaign. White House spokesperson Anna Kelly said in a statement to ABC News: "The United States will not be attacking Iran at any time prior to the midterm elections." Another White House official said the administration does not comment on "sensitive military plans that may or may not exist," and that Trump "keeps all options on the table" to prevent Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapon. The Pentagon declined to comment. [ 4 ]

The Israeli sources said Netanyahu is firmly in favor of renewed action but that the decision is "only for Trump to decide." One did not rule out Israel striking unilaterally, while adding that Israel would still require U.S. consent. The New York Times report said it is far from certain Trump will approve fresh strikes, noting that he has repeatedly vetoed plans for a return to major combat operations this year, including this month when the militaries were nearly ready to attack. [ 2 , 4 , 5 ]

The report said there are reasons to doubt that a renewed war would be more successful than the first phase of strikes between February and April, which drove up energy prices and inflation around the world, eroded security in the Middle East and severely strained the Pentagon's supply of missile interceptors. Iranian officials have promised to retaliate by expanding their targets to data centers and underwater internet cables, and say the fighting will be neither quick nor limited. The United States is assembling an arsenal that will be fully in place by early November, the report said. [ 2 , 5 ]

TIME reported that Trump said last month the war would end "immediately after the election." It also reported that Trump told Newsmax last week he was considering additional military action, including a possible strike on Iran's Pickaxe Mountain nuclear facility. ABC News reported that Trump gave a conflicting answer on negotiations, saying talks are ongoing "a little bit" and then "I think we're not negotiating." [ 3 , 4 ]

CNN spoke with Republican voters in Iowa, where it said high gas and diesel prices have hurt farmers and two service members from the state have died in the conflict. Most of those interviewed reacted negatively to the prospect of a new, intensive round of bombing. One said gas had risen from about $40 to $60 for a tank and predicted prices would "skyrocket again." [ 6 ]

Why it matters

The reports suggest the war with Iran, which has lasted nearly eight months, could resume after the elections. The outlets note that the first phase drove up energy prices and inflation and strained U.S. missile interceptor supplies, and CNN found wariness among Republican voters in Iowa.

Key facts

  • The New York Times reported that the U.S. and Israeli militaries have developed specific plans for renewed strikes on Iran after the U.S. midterm elections, citing U.S. officials and other people briefed on the deliberations. [ 1 , 2 , 5 ]
  • Likely targets include Iran's energy infrastructure, nuclear facilities, and missile and drone arsenal. [ 2 , 3 , 5 ]
  • The two militaries have stepped up exercises, flying planes over Iraq to practice strike maneuvers, according to the report. [ 2 , 5 ]
  • Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth met Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in Israel this week to discuss new strikes, U.S. officials said. [ 2 , 3 , 5 ]
  • White House spokesperson Anna Kelly told ABC News: "The United States will not be attacking Iran at any time prior to the midterm elections." [ 4 ]
  • The midterm elections are on Nov. 3. [ 4 ]
  • The first phase of intense U.S.-Israeli strikes ran between February and April. [ 2 , 5 ]

Confirmed by several sources

  • The U.S. and Israeli militaries have drawn up plans for renewed strikes on Iran that are expected to follow the U.S. midterm elections. [ 2 , 3 , 4 , 5 ]
  • Defense Secretary Hegseth met Prime Minister Netanyahu in Israel this week to discuss renewed strikes. [ 2 , 3 , 5 ]
  • Trump has repeatedly called off or vetoed plans for a return to major combat this year. [ 1 , 2 , 5 ]

Still unclear

  • Whether President Trump will approve renewed strikes. The New York Times, Boston Globe and Seattle Times text says approval is far from certain; the Israeli sources quoted by ABC News say the decision is only for Trump to decide.
  • Whether renewed strikes would succeed in forcing Iranian concessions. Some officials say one more big round could push Iran's economy over the brink, while the New York Times report says there are reasons to doubt a renewed war would be more successful than the first phase.
  • Whether the U.S. and Iran are currently negotiating. ABC News reported that Trump first said talks are ongoing "a little bit" and moments later said "I think we're not negotiating."
  • Whether Israel might strike on its own. One Israeli source quoted by ABC News did not rule out a unilateral Israeli strike but said Israel would still require U.S. consent.
  • The timing of any strikes. ABC News' Israeli sources said strikes would almost certainly come after the midterms and a source said the wait would not be long; no document gives a date.
  • The White House said the U.S. will not attack Iran before the Nov. 3 midterm elections. Reported by a single source so far

What local media are saying

Business mediaThe New York Times, the Seattle Times and the Boston Globe carried the report on specific U.S.-Israeli plans, the stepped-up exercises and doubts about their success. ABC News added Israeli sources and the White House denial of any strike before the elections. TIME stressed Trump's statements that the war would end after the election. CNN reported wariness among Iowa Republican voters over fuel prices and a new round of bombing. [ 1 , 2 , 3 , 4 , 5 , 6 ]

Timeline, local time

  1. The New York Times published its report on U.S.-Israeli plans for renewed strikes on Iran after the elections (Oct. 21). [ 1 ]
  2. TIME published an article on the New York Times report (Oct. 22). [ 3 ]
  3. ABC News published its report with Israeli sources and the White House statement that the U.S. will not strike Iran before the midterms (Oct. 22). [ 4 ]
  4. CNN published its report on Iowa Republican voters' reactions to the prospect of renewed war (Oct. 22). [ 6 ]