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Axios: OpenAI, Anthropic leaders plan for a possible catastrophic AI incident

🇷🇺 Russia 11:54 AI Business4 Tech2 updated 2 d ago first reported by Ведомости

In short

Leaders of OpenAI, Anthropic and other AI companies are working through how the public and authorities would react to a catastrophic AI-related incident, such as a cyberattack that disrupts banks, the internet or power and water supplies, Axios reported. Some industry representatives told Axios such an incident could happen within 6 to 12 months. OpenAI confirmed it holds preparedness exercises but said it does not consider the scenarios inevitable; Anthropic declined to comment.

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Leaders of OpenAI, Anthropic and other artificial intelligence companies are working through scenarios for how the public and authorities would react to a catastrophic AI-related incident, Axios reported, citing industry sources. Vedomosti, citing Axios, said OpenAI chief Sam Altman and Anthropic head Dario Amodei regard a major cyber incident as a serious risk for the industry. [ 1 , 2 , 3 , 4 , 5 ]

The scenario most often cited is a large cyberattack that could disrupt financial services, the internet, or even power and water supplies. Meduza wrote that whether such an incident came from AI agents escaping a test environment or from malicious actors, it would deepen distrust of the technology and its developers. Some industry representatives told Axios a major incident could occur within the next 6 to 12 months; iXBT noted this is an assessment of potential risks, not a confirmed forecast. [ 1 , 2 , 5 ]

According to Axios, many leading AI researchers and company heads consider a major AI-related incident inevitable. Kommersant added that not only companies but also government agencies, including the Pentagon, analyse potential catastrophes. The developers fear public anger against technology companies, their executives and President Donald Trump. Kommersant described Trump as not wanting to regulate the industry, Vedomosti pointed to the absence of strict state regulation, and iXBT referred to his administration's approach to regulating the sector. [ 1 , 2 , 3 , 5 ]

OpenAI confirmed that it holds preparedness exercises in which teams discuss and work through a range of potential scenarios, and stressed that it does not consider them inevitable. Anthropic declined to comment to Axios. [ 2 , 3 , 5 ]

Meduza reported that working with the US Congress is a key focus of the planning. After the 3 November midterm elections, Democrats, who favour tougher AI regulation than Republicans, could strengthen their position; their most radical ideas include banning the creation of superintelligence and pausing development of frontier models. An emergency shutdown mechanism for advanced AI systems is popular with members of both parties, and Vedomosti said also with part of the business community, though Meduza reported that experts question whether AI systems can be fully switched off. [ 1 , 3 ]

As an example of the threat, iXBT said Axios cited an alleged cyberattack on South Korean financial organisations in which an attacker from China was reported to have used AI tools, including DeepSeek models, to steal data on tens of thousands of bank customers, and, according to CrowdStrike, asked Claude Code for help finding places to sell the data. Vedomosti recalled that The Wall Street Journal reported on 7 October that hackers using AI agents hit at least seven South Korean financial companies and accessed personal data of 68,000 people. Investigators found signs of the Chinese cybersecurity tool Artex AI, South Korea's National Police Agency opened an investigation, and the attackers have not been identified, Vedomosti said. [ 2 , 3 ]

Why it matters

According to the outlets, the companies fear a major incident would erode trust in the technology and turn public anger against AI developers and US President Donald Trump. Meduza and Vedomosti, citing Axios, reported that Democrats in Congress could push for tighter limits on advanced AI, up to a ban on superintelligence, while an emergency shutdown mechanism for such systems has support in both parties.

Key facts

  • Axios reported that leaders of Anthropic, OpenAI and other AI companies are working through scenarios for a catastrophic AI-related incident and the public and official reaction to it. [ 1 , 2 , 4 , 5 ]
  • The main scenario cited is a large cyberattack that could disrupt financial services, the internet or power systems. [ 1 , 2 , 3 , 5 ]
  • Some industry representatives told Axios a major incident could occur within the next 6 to 12 months. [ 1 , 2 ]
  • OpenAI confirmed it conducts preparedness exercises in which teams consider a range of scenarios, and said it does not consider them inevitable. [ 2 , 3 , 5 ]
  • Anthropic declined to comment to Axios. [ 2 , 5 ]
  • Vedomosti, citing Axios, reported that OpenAI chief Sam Altman and Anthropic head Dario Amodei regard a major cyber incident as a serious risk for the industry. [ 3 ]
  • According to Axios, an emergency shutdown mechanism for advanced AI systems has support among members of both US parties. [ 1 , 3 ]

Confirmed by several sources

  • Leaders of OpenAI and Anthropic are working through scenarios for a major AI-related crisis, Axios reported. [ 1 , 2 , 3 , 4 , 5 ]
  • A large cyberattack could disrupt banks or financial services, the internet and power systems, according to the scenarios described. [ 1 , 2 , 3 , 5 ]
  • Some in the industry told Axios a serious incident could happen within 6 to 12 months. [ 1 , 2 ]
  • OpenAI confirmed it holds preparedness exercises and said it does not consider the scenarios inevitable. [ 2 , 3 , 5 ]
  • Anthropic declined to comment. [ 2 , 5 ]
  • The companies fear public anger directed at AI developers and at President Donald Trump or his administration over its approach to regulation. [ 2 , 3 , 5 ]
  • Democrats in Congress could seek to restrict advanced AI up to a ban on superintelligence, and an emergency shutdown mechanism has support in both parties, according to Axios. [ 1 , 3 ]
  • Many leading AI researchers and company heads consider a major AI-related incident inevitable, Axios wrote. [ 1 , 5 ]

Still unclear

  • Who carried out the cyberattack on South Korean financial companies cited as an example. iXBT says an attacker from China was reported to be behind it, while Vedomosti says South Korean authorities have not yet identified the attackers.
  • Whether a major incident will occur within 6 to 12 months. This is an estimate by some industry representatives; iXBT calls it an assessment of potential risks rather than a confirmed forecast, and OpenAI said it does not consider the scenarios inevitable.
  • Anthropic's own planning. Anthropic declined to comment, so details of its preparations come only from Axios's sources.
  • Whether AI systems could be fully switched off. Meduza reports that experts question whether AI systems can be completely shut down, even as an emergency shutdown mechanism is discussed.

What local media are saying

Business mediaBusiness outlets relayed the Axios report in measured terms, focusing on the cyberattack scenarios, OpenAI's confirmation of exercises, Anthropic's refusal to comment, possible public anger at developers and Trump, and the expected push in Congress for tighter AI regulation; Vedomosti added the reported attack on South Korean banks. [ 1 , 3 , 4 , 5 ]
Technology mediaiXBT used an alarm-framed headline about an 'AI uprising' and 'Doomsday', but its text stressed that the 6-to-12-month timeframe is a risk estimate rather than a confirmed forecast, and detailed the South Korean attack example involving DeepSeek models and Claude Code. [ 2 ]

Timeline, local time

  1. Meduza reports, citing Axios, that Anthropic, OpenAI and other AI companies are preparing for a possible catastrophic AI incident. [ 1 ]
  2. iXBT publishes its report, including OpenAI's confirmation of exercises and Anthropic's refusal to comment. [ 2 ]
  3. Vedomosti reports the Axios story, naming Sam Altman and Dario Amodei and recalling the reported AI-assisted attack on South Korean banks. [ 3 ]
  4. RBC publishes its report on the companies' preparations. [ 4 ]
  5. Kommersant reports the story, adding that government agencies including the Pentagon also analyse potential catastrophes. [ 5 ]