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Polls show Trump losing Hispanic support from 2024 a month before US midterms

🇺🇸 United States 19:56 Politics Business3 updated 11 h ago first reported by The Guardian US

In short

A new NBC News/Telemundo poll of Hispanic voters, released ahead of next month's midterm elections, shows President Trump's support down from 2024, with respondents disapproving of his handling of immigration, border security, the economy and the cost of living. A separate Reuters/Ipsos poll reported by The Guardian US put Trump's approval at a record-low 32%, with losses among independent and Latino voters. Trump dismissed the polling, saying “I'm doing great.”

Read the full story 3 min read

A new NBC News/Telemundo poll of Hispanic voters found President Trump's support has fallen from its 2024 level, with the survey released in the days before next month's midterm elections that will determine control of Congress. NBC News aired a segment on the poll featuring chief data analyst Steve Kornacki, and The Hill and The Guardian US both reported its findings. [ 1 , 2 , 3 ]

According to The Hill, 27 percent of the 800 Hispanic respondents approved of Trump, while 69 percent disapproved. Nearly six in ten disapproved of his handling of border security, almost seven in ten disapproved of his handling of immigration and of foreign policy, roughly three-fourths disapproved of his handling of the economy, and 78 percent disapproved of his handling of the cost of living. The Hill added that annual inflation as measured by the consumer price index rose from 3 percent in January 2025 to 3.4 percent last month, citing Bureau of Labor Statistics data, and that Trump promised to lower prices during his 2024 campaign. [ 2 ]

On immigration enforcement, two-thirds of respondents said Trump's tactics have gone too far, 22 percent said he has struck the right approach and roughly one in ten said he has not gone far enough, The Hill reported. More than eight in ten supported deporting immigrants who entered the US illegally and have committed serious crimes, but fewer than four in ten favoured deporting every migrant lacking permanent legal status. “Frankly, it's the hardest job that I've had,” Trump said on Wednesday about immigration enforcement, saying he is told he is either too tough or too soft. [ 2 ]

The Guardian US reported a separate Reuters/Ipsos poll showing Trump's approval at a record-low 32 percent, including losses among independent voters and Latinos who had backed him in 2024, a dip it said could prove dire for Republicans a month before the midterms. It also cited the NBC News/Telemundo poll released Sunday as showing 59 percent of Latino voters prefer a Democratic-controlled Congress, double the number two years earlier, and 24 percent of Hispanic Americans approving of Trump's performance. Asked about the polls before boarding a flight to Nebraska on Monday, Trump said, “I'm doing great,” and blamed CNN and the media, according to the outlet. [ 3 ]

The two outlets give different approval figures from the same NBC News/Telemundo survey: The Hill reports 27 percent of Hispanic respondents approved of Trump, while The Guardian US reports 24 percent of Hispanic Americans. Neither document explains the difference. [ 2 , 3 ]

As background, The Hill noted that CNN exit polling of more than 2,000 voters showed 46 percent of Hispanic respondents voted for Trump in 2024, and that he had promised mass deportations of immigrants lacking permanent legal status before carrying them out during his term. The Guardian US reported that Trump has spent recent days campaigning for Republican candidates, that some Republicans have begun distancing themselves from him over issues such as immigration, and that Americans have soured on the economy and the war with Iran, which they attribute to the administration. [ 2 , 3 ]

Why it matters

The figures land about a month before midterm elections that will determine control of Congress, and the outlets reporting them treat the erosion of Latino and independent support as a risk for Republican candidates. The documents also note that some Republicans have begun distancing themselves from the president on immigration as they try to hold local support.

Key facts

  • A new NBC News/Telemundo poll of Hispanic voters was released ahead of next month's midterm elections. [ 1 , 2 , 3 ]
  • The Hill reports that 27 percent of 800 Hispanic respondents approved of Trump and 69 percent disapproved. [ 2 ]
  • The Guardian US reports the same NBC News/Telemundo poll put Trump's approval among Hispanic Americans at 24 percent, a different figure from The Hill's account. [ 3 ]
  • Two-thirds of respondents said Trump's immigration enforcement tactics have gone too far, while 22 percent said the approach was right, according to The Hill. [ 2 ]
  • A Reuters/Ipsos poll reported by The Guardian US showed Trump's approval at a record-low 32 percent. [ 3 ]
  • Trump told a reporter, “I'm doing great,” when asked about polls showing him losing support among Latino voters, The Guardian US reported. [ 3 ]

Confirmed by several sources

  • A new NBC News/Telemundo poll of Hispanic voters was released in the days before next month's midterm elections. [ 1 , 2 , 3 ]
  • The poll indicates Trump's support among Hispanic voters has declined compared with 2024. [ 2 , 3 ]

Still unclear

  • Trump's approval rating among Hispanic respondents to the NBC News/Telemundo poll: The Hill reports 27 percent, while The Guardian US reports 24 percent. The two outlets cite the same poll with different figures, and the documents do not explain the discrepancy.
  • The Reuters/Ipsos finding of a record-low 32 percent approval rating appears only in The Guardian US. Single-source claim with no second outlet reporting the same poll number.
  • The poll's breakdowns on immigration enforcement, border security, the economy and the cost of living appear only in The Hill's account. Single-source detail from one outlet's reading of the survey.

What local media are saying

Business mediaAll three outlets in the documents are labelled as business-type coverage, and they frame the polling as a political setback for Trump a month before the midterms. NBC News presented the survey through its data analyst, The Hill detailed the issue-by-issue disapproval numbers and inflation data, and The Guardian US paired it with a Reuters/Ipsos approval figure, Trump's response and signs of Republican distancing. [ 1 , 2 , 3 ]

Timeline, local time

  1. NBC News airs a Meet the Press segment in which chief data analyst Steve Kornacki reviews the new NBC News-Telemundo poll of Latino voters ahead of next month's midterm elections. [ 1 ]
  2. The Hill publishes details of the NBC News/Telemundo survey, including approval and issue-handling numbers and inflation data. [ 2 ]
  3. The Guardian US reports a Reuters/Ipsos poll showing Trump at a record-low 32 percent approval, and Trump's comment “I'm doing great” made before a flight to Nebraska. [ 3 ]