China's central bank says it does not seek trade advantage through yuan devaluation
In short
The People's Bank of China published a statement of its policy position on the yuan exchange rate on October 8, saying China has no need and no intention to gain a trade advantage through depreciation and has never carried out competitive devaluation. The bank said the market plays the decisive role in setting the rate, and that using individual assessment results as an "official basis" for calling the yuan undervalued is a misinterpretation and misuse of those results.
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The People's Bank of China on October 8 published a statement setting out its policy position on the yuan exchange rate, saying China has no need and no intention to gain a trade advantage through depreciation and has never engaged in competitive devaluation. The bank said the exchange rate, as an important price in financial markets, has long attracted attention and that discussion of it has increased recently. It said China's trade development is rooted in the rising international competitiveness of its industries. [ 1 , 2 , 3 , 4 , 8 , 11 ]
The bank said China runs a managed floating regime based on market supply and demand with reference to a basket of currencies, with the market playing the decisive role. According to CLS and Yicai, it said it does not preset a target level for the exchange rate or intervene in its long-term trend, and that it exited regular foreign-exchange intervention after 2017. 36Kr reported that the bank said it focuses on preventing large short-term swings, especially sharp short-term depreciation, and that during major external shocks such as the pandemic outbreak and the April 2025 tariff war it used macroprudential tools and expectation guidance, and in extreme cases intervened directly, to correct herd behaviour and irrational depreciation expectations. [ 1 , 3 , 6 , 9 , 10 ]
The statement said Chinese trade has become markedly less sensitive to exchange-rate changes, 36Kr reported. It said imports and exports of high-tech products grew 7.9% a year on average over the past five years and 11.4% in 2025, contributing nearly 60% of overall foreign-trade growth, and that about 30% of trade is settled in yuan while companies' hedging ratio is around 30%. The statement said that during the Asian financial crisis of the 1990s the Chinese government pledged not to devalue the yuan, that the yuan stayed basically stable in 2008, and that in recent years, amid a trade war and steep Federal Reserve rate rises, the central bank took macroprudential measures to prevent the yuan overshooting toward depreciation. [ 8 , 13 ]
The bank said the exchange rate has no simple linear relationship with the current account and is shaped by economic growth, monetary policy, financial markets, geopolitics and sudden risk events. It said international methods for assessing equilibrium exchange rates are immature, and that treating individual assessment results as an "official basis" for yuan undervaluation is a misinterpretation and misuse; CLS reported that the statement named the IMF's External Balance Assessment in this context. [ 1 , 3 , 5 , 7 , 12 ]
The bank said global imbalances are closely linked to the evolving global division of labour, contradictions in the international monetary system and long-term high fiscal deficits and consumption in some countries, and that attributing domestic problems to other countries' exchange rates is shirking responsibility. It said that during the 15th Five-Year Plan period China will expand domestic demand, improve the business environment and deepen opening up. [ 1 , 3 , 4 , 11 ]
Why it matters
The statement sets out the central bank's formal position on a currency question that, by its own account, has drawn increasing discussion recently. It rejects the use of equilibrium exchange-rate assessments, including the IMF's External Balance Assessment as reported by CLS, as evidence of undervaluation, and says blaming other countries' exchange rates for domestic problems shifts responsibility. Business, tech and official outlets all carried it on the evening of October 8.
Key facts
- The People's Bank of China published its policy position on the yuan exchange rate on October 8. [ 1 , 4 , 11 ]
- The bank said China has no need and no intention to gain a trade advantage through exchange-rate depreciation and has never engaged in competitive devaluation. [ 1 , 2 , 3 , 4 , 8 , 11 ]
- China runs a managed floating exchange-rate regime based on market supply and demand with reference to a basket of currencies, with the market playing the decisive role, the bank said. [ 1 , 2 , 3 , 4 , 6 , 9 , 11 ]
- The bank said it does not preset a target level for the exchange rate or intervene in its long-term trend, and exited regular foreign-exchange intervention after 2017. [ 9 , 10 ]
- Since 2010 the yuan has gone through several cycles of appreciation and depreciation, with two-way movement becoming more pronounced, the bank said. [ 1 , 2 , 3 , 4 , 11 ]
- The bank said the exchange rate has no simple linear relationship with the current account. [ 1 , 3 , 7 , 12 ]
- About 30% of trade is settled in yuan and companies' foreign-exchange hedging ratio is around 30%, the statement said, according to 36Kr. [ 13 ]
Confirmed by several sources
- The People's Bank of China issued a policy position on the yuan exchange rate on October 8. [ 1 , 4 , 11 ]
- The bank said China has no need and no intention to gain a trade advantage through depreciation and never engages in competitive devaluation. [ 1 , 2 , 3 , 4 , 8 , 11 ]
- China runs a managed floating regime based on market supply and demand with reference to a basket of currencies, with the market playing the decisive role. [ 1 , 2 , 3 , 4 , 6 , 9 , 11 ]
- The bank said attributing a country's declining industrial competitiveness, weakened fiscal discipline and structural problems to other countries' exchange rates is shirking responsibility for its own adjustment. [ 1 , 3 , 4 , 11 ]
Still unclear
- Which recent discussions or which parties prompted the statement. The statement says only that discussion of the yuan exchange rate has increased recently and does not name who is involved.
- Which countries the bank means when it refers to countries attributing their problems to others' exchange rates and to countries that launched a trade war. The documents do not name the countries.
- The figure for the current share of global trade in global foreign-exchange trading. CLS's summary says the share fell from about 1/35 in the 1990s but is cut off before the current figure.
- The bank said the exchange rate has no simple linear relationship with the current account. Reported by a single source so far
- The bank does not preset a target level for the exchange rate or intervene in its long-term trend. Reported by a single source so far
What local media are saying
Timeline, local time
- CLS reports the People's Bank of China's statement on its yuan exchange-rate policy position. [ 1 ]
- China News Service carries Xinhua's flash report; CLS reports the bank's rejection of the IMF External Balance Assessment as a basis for undervaluation claims. [ 4 , 5 ]
- CLS reports the bank's statement that it exited regular foreign-exchange intervention after 2017. [ 9 ]
- Xinhua publishes its report on the statement. [ 11 ]
- 36Kr reports the bank's data on trade's reduced sensitivity to exchange-rate changes. [ 13 ]