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China expects over 300 million cross-region trips on sixth day of National Day holiday

🇨🇳 China 18:07 Transport Business3 Official updated 6 d ago first reported by 第一财经

In short

China's Ministry of Transport expects more than 300 million cross-region passenger trips on the sixth day of the National Day holiday, with return travel running at high levels, according to reports citing the ministry. Railways are expected to carry 22.1 million passengers with 2,199 extra trains added, civil aviation is forecast at 2.471 million passengers and waterways at 1.39 million, up 25.3% year on year. Forty-four highway sections are flagged as congestion-prone, mainly in Jiangsu, Guangdong, Hunan and Anhui.

Read the full story 1 min read

China's Ministry of Transport expects cross-region passenger flows to exceed 300 million trips on the sixth day of the National Day holiday, with return travel keeping passenger volumes at high levels, according to Yicai, CLS, China News Service and Jiemian, which all cited the ministry's figures. [ 1 , 2 , 3 , 4 ]

The ministry expects national railways to send 22.1 million passengers and has scheduled 2,199 extra trains. On highways, return traffic is described as dispersing, with 44 sections flagged as prone to congestion, mainly in Jiangsu, Guangdong, Hunan and Anhui. [ 1 , 2 , 3 , 4 ]

Civil aviation passenger volume is forecast at 2.471 million, with popular routes including Shenzhen–Shanghai, Beijing and Hangzhou, and Shanghai–Guangzhou and Beijing. Waterway passenger volume is expected to reach 1.39 million, up 25.3% year on year. [ 1 , 2 , 3 , 4 ]

All the figures are ministry forecasts for the day rather than confirmed counts, and the reports do not give specific congested road sections or times. The documents also do not state whether the projected totals were reached. [ 1 , 2 , 3 , 4 ]

Why it matters

The figures cover the return leg of one of China's main annual travel periods, a single day on which rail, road, air and water networks are all under heavy load. The forecast 25.3% year-on-year rise in waterway passenger volume is the only comparison the documents offer, indicating demand on that mode is above last year's level. All numbers are projections from the Ministry of Transport, not final counts.

Key facts

  • Cross-region passenger flows in China are expected to exceed 300 million trips on the sixth day of the National Day holiday, according to the Ministry of Transport. [ 1 , 2 , 3 , 4 ]
  • National railways are expected to send 22.1 million passengers, with 2,199 additional trains planned. [ 1 , 2 , 3 , 4 ]
  • Return traffic on highways is described as dispersing, with 44 sections prone to congestion, mainly in Jiangsu, Guangdong, Hunan and Anhui. [ 1 , 2 , 3 , 4 ]
  • Civil aviation passenger volume is expected to reach 2.471 million, with popular routes including Shenzhen–Shanghai, Beijing and Hangzhou, and Shanghai–Guangzhou and Beijing. [ 1 , 2 , 3 , 4 ]
  • Waterway passenger volume is expected at 1.39 million, up 25.3% year on year. [ 1 , 2 , 3 , 4 ]

Confirmed by several sources

  • Cross-region passenger flows are expected to exceed 300 million trips on the sixth day of the National Day holiday, per the Ministry of Transport. [ 1 , 2 , 3 , 4 ]
  • Railways are expected to carry 22.1 million passengers and add 2,199 trains. [ 1 , 2 , 3 , 4 ]
  • Civil aviation is expected to handle 2.471 million passengers. [ 1 , 2 , 3 , 4 ]
  • Waterway passenger volume is expected to be 1.39 million, up 25.3% year on year. [ 1 , 2 , 3 , 4 ]

Still unclear

  • Whether the day's passenger totals were ultimately reached. All four documents present the figures as forecasts (“预计”), not final counts, and none reports actual outcomes.
  • Which specific highway sections were congested and when. The documents name only the provinces with congestion-prone sections, not individual roads or times.

What local media are saying

Business mediaYicai, CLS and Jiemian carried the same Transport Ministry figures in short, headline-focused reports, emphasising the expected scale of return travel and the breakdown by rail, road, air and water without additional comment. Jiemian attributed the figures to CCTV News, while Yicai cited CCTV News and the ministry. [ 1 , 2 , 4 ]
Official sourcesChina News Service reported the same ministry figures, attributing them to the Ministry of Transport and listing the same modal forecasts and congestion-prone provinces. [ 3 ]

Timeline, local time

  1. Yicai and CLS report that cross-region passenger flows on the holiday's sixth day are expected to exceed 300 million trips, citing the Ministry of Transport. [ 1 , 2 ]
  2. China News Service publishes the same ministry figures. [ 3 ]
  3. Jiemian publishes the same figures, attributing them to CCTV News. [ 4 ]