Trump approval at record lows in three polls two weeks before US midterm elections
In short
Three national polls released between 19 and 21 October put President Trump's approval at 31% (Reuters/Ipsos), 33% (Washington Post-ABC News-Ipsos) and 36% among likely voters (New York Times/Siena). Each was described as a low for its pollster, with about two weeks left before the midterm elections. The White House dismissed the findings in a statement to Newsweek.
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Three national polls published between 19 and 21 October put President Donald Trump's approval rating at or near the lowest level recorded by each pollster, with about two weeks left before the midterm elections. A Reuters/Ipsos poll showed 31% approval, a Washington Post-ABC News-Ipsos poll showed 33%, and a New York Times/Siena poll showed 36% among likely voters. [ 1 , 2 , 7 , 10 , 11 ]
The Hill reported that the Washington Post-ABC News-Ipsos poll was 4 points lower than a July poll and 8 points lower than at this point last year. It said roughly 66% disapprove of his job performance, including 52% who strongly disapprove. Among likely voters, 52% backed Democrats and 44% Republicans; among registered voters the figures were 50% and 42%. The Hill also reported that 48% of voters said they are financially worse off than when Trump returned to the White House, the highest percentage the polling partners have seen since 1986. [ 1 ]
The Hill reported that the Reuters/Ipsos poll showed the 31% approval rating, down 1 point from the previous poll two weeks earlier. Reuters headlines in Spanish, Portuguese and French also reported the 31% figure, and the Portuguese and French headlines described it as the lowest on record. [ 3 , 4 , 6 , 7 ]
The New York Times/Siena poll found that 36% of likely voters approved of Trump's performance and 59% disapproved, his lowest approval in any Times/Siena poll. The Seattle Times and Boston Globe said more than two-thirds of independents disapproved and that likely voters preferred Democratic candidates by 11 points in their congressional districts, a slight improvement for Democrats since last month. The Guardian put the poll at about 3,494 likely voters, and Newsweek said it surveyed voters from 12 to 19 October. [ 8 , 10 , 11 , 12 , 13 ]
Disapproval was tied to the economy and prices. Three-quarters rated the economy as fair or poor, 69% disapproved of his handling of the cost of living, and 65% disapproved of his handling of the war in Iran. Nearly three-quarters disapproved of his handling of gas prices, which the Seattle Times said are above $4 a gallon. Newsweek said 77% of independents, 42% of Republicans and 43% of people who voted for Trump in 2024 disapproved on gas prices. The Guardian said the Iran war has dragged on for nearly eight months. [ 10 , 11 , 12 , 13 ]
Newsweek quoted Nate Cohn, the Times' chief political analyst, as writing that the figure is the lowest approval rating for any president heading into the midterms since Harry Truman in 1946. The White House dismissed the findings in a statement to Newsweek. Spokesperson Davis Ingle defended Trump's record, citing tax cuts, lower prescription drug costs, border security and job growth. [ 13 ]
On PBS NewsHour, NPR's Tamara Keith said Trump had promised in September to visit 35 competitive districts. Her analysis of his travel since then found he had gone to fewer than a third of them, and had instead visited very red states and districts. [ 5 ]
Why it matters
The polls were released about two weeks before voters decide which party controls Congress. They show broad disapproval of Trump on the economy, the cost of living, gas prices and the war in Iran, and Democrats ahead in the congressional vote in the polls that asked.
Key facts
- The Reuters/Ipsos poll put Trump's approval at 31%, down 1 point from the previous poll two weeks earlier. [ 2 , 7 ]
- The Washington Post-ABC News-Ipsos poll put Trump's approval at 33%, with about 66% disapproving, including 52% who strongly disapprove. [ 1 , 5 ]
- The New York Times/Siena poll found 36% of likely voters approve of Trump and 59% disapprove, the lowest approval in any Times/Siena poll. [ 10 , 11 , 12 , 13 ]
- Likely voters preferred Democratic candidates over Republicans by 11 points in their congressional districts in the Times/Siena poll. [ 8 , 10 , 12 ]
- In the Post-ABC-Ipsos poll, 48% of voters said they are financially worse off than when Trump returned to the White House, the highest share the polling partners have seen since 1986. [ 1 ]
- In the Times/Siena poll, 73% of likely voters disapproved of Trump's handling of gas prices and 24% approved. [ 13 ]
Confirmed by several sources
- A Reuters/Ipsos poll put Trump's approval at 31%. [ 2 , 3 , 4 , 6 , 7 ]
- A New York Times/Siena poll found 36% of likely voters approve of Trump and 59% disapprove, his lowest in a Times/Siena poll. [ 10 , 11 , 12 , 13 ]
- A Washington Post-ABC News-Ipsos poll put Trump's approval at 33%. [ 1 , 5 ]
- About three-quarters of respondents in the Times/Siena poll rated the economy as fair or poor, and 69% disapproved of Trump's handling of the cost of living and 65% of his handling of the war in Iran. [ 10 , 11 , 12 ]
Still unclear
- Whether the 73% disapproval on gas prices comes from likely voters or registered voters. Newsweek describes it as likely voters; The Guardian describes it as registered voters.
- How much Trump's Times/Siena approval fell since September. The Guardian reported a two-point decrease between September and October; Newsweek said his 34% approval among registered voters was 3 points below the September poll.
- How the 31%, 33% and 36% figures compare. They come from three different polls, and the documents do not explain how the polls differ.
What local media are saying
Timeline, local time
- On 19 October The Hill reported the Washington Post-ABC News-Ipsos poll showing Trump at 33% approval. [ 1 ]
- On 19 October Reuters published its report on the Reuters/Ipsos poll putting Trump's approval at a record low of 31%. [ 2 ]
- On 19 October PBS NewsHour discussed the Washington Post-ABC News-Ipsos poll with Tamara Keith and Carrie Dann. [ 5 ]
- On 20 October The Hill reported the Reuters/Ipsos 31% approval figure. [ 7 ]
- On 21 October The New York Times reported its Times/Siena poll showing Trump's approval at a new low. [ 8 ]
- On 21 October Newsweek reported the Times/Siena findings on gas prices, with a White House response sent to it on Wednesday. [ 13 ]